I would disagree that it is clear cut. Since Covid, the passenger numbers at Heathrow have risen back to record levels bringing a corresponding rise to vehicle movements on the A4. That must have had an effect on traffic light phasing which has increased northbound queues on the A316. That is not to say that the LTN isn't adding to the tailbacks but rather we don't know until either proper traffic study is done, or, as you suggest, it is shut down for a week or so to evaluate the impact.
Jeremy Parkinson ● 11d