Forum Topic

Indeed Francis.Re: FOI requests, if these are submitted via the WhatDoTheyKnow website, the request, requestor and response are publicly available.  If they are submitted directly to Hounslow, they aren't.  I don't think Hounslow is any different from other councils in that regard.On Twitter, Jane O'Donnell, who I believe is associated with OneChiswick, claimed the figure came from 2 FOI requests to Hounslow.  It would be good if they provided the FOI reference numbers so it was clear exactly what information they were basing their claim on.  However I won't be holding my breath.Doing some back of the envelope sums, from the FOI request linked by Andrew Jones, between Feb and Oct 2021, there was an average of 113 a day at Hartington.From another FOI referenced in the article below, the average between dates in Jun and Sep 21 was 119 a day.https://chiswickcalendar.co.uk/from-aberdeen-to-truro-foi-request-finds-the-biggest-group-of-drivers-fined-for-driving-in-grove-park-are-from-outside-london/Let's assume both Hartington and Staveley had 119 a day so for the first 6 months of 2022, that is 43k PCNs and at (I think) £130 maximum per PCN, that is £5.6M.  It won't be £130 per PCN as the fine is 50% for paying within a certain time period and there will be a proportion of fines that aren't paid.The Onesies claimed Hounslow should "Repay £10M The Carers, Nurses and Workers of Chiswick Ten Million pounds of PCNs on Staveley and Hartington Roads only" referencing Jan-Jun 2022.  So they aren't just claiming £10M fines, they are claiming £10M fines to people in Chiswick.The FOI cited in the Chiswick Calendar article showed that 7.6% of PCNs were issued to drivers with a registered address in W4.Given the Onesies deliberately misrepresented cyclist casuality numbers, we shouldn't be surprised with them playing fast and loose with this point as well.  That's what the Onesies do, along with spamming councillors with anonymous emails.On the volume of fines at Hartington, I have mentioned this before, but most of the time drivers are on autopilot and simply don't see signs, or maybe they see the sign but don't know what it means.  SatNav apps may not help as they can show a road as open because they see other vehicles using the road.  I suspect they aren't sophisticated enough for time-based restrictions either.To make the signage effective, the road layout needs to be changed so drivers are forced to slow down or stop and actually see the sign and make a decision.

Michael Robinson ● 1389d

It has been a characteristic of this entire issue that the people most engaged with it on both sides have misused data to boost their argument. It makes it very difficult to know exactly what the true position is.The £10 million claim seems to be one of the most preposterous so far and it is a daft one to have made as even the lowest level of fines verified by FoI are way above what they should be.One thing that has to be pointed out is that it is a very poor justification of the level of fines to say that they don't matter as much because most of the people getting them don't come from Chiswick. Although the data, is a bit flawed as a vehicle may not be registered at the drivers home address, I think we can assume it is correct that it is mainly people unfamiliar with local roads that are getting fined.A high proportion of these are going to be workers on relatively low incomes who need to do a lot of mileage such as delivery drivers, Uber drivers and people working in the social care industry who can't afford to live in Chiswick. A fine can wipe out a good proportion of their daily wage and you just need to talk to anyone working in these jobs to learn that PCNs have become an occupational hazard and often a crippling burden during the cost-of-living crisis. We shouldn't be celebrating that the expense is falling on them rather than the well upholstered residents of Grove Park.One of the consequences of our nation's current fiscal difficulties is that councils are becoming increasing dependent on revenue from fines to balance their budget. The claim that this all goes back into transport improvements is something that any public sector accountant can tell you is a fiction. These charges are effectively a regressive tax and so there is a fundamental truth in the OneChiswick claim which regrettably they have obscured by their hyperbole.

Francis Rowe ● 1389d

Although there are quite a few assumptions in what you say, you may be correct up to a point. The problem is that it is likely people only make this mistake once and therefore the level of fines cannot be explained by the Grove Park area being on the route of people living in certain areas south of the river.It is far more likely that a larger proportion of fines are accrued by people who are required to habitually drive in on roads which they are not familiar with, namely the aforementioned delivery drivers, social care workers, Uber drivers and you could add to that list quite a few other average or low pay jobs such as people working in the building trade.You may refuse to accept that these kind of drivers make up a significant proportion of fines given out because no specific figures exist on the occupation of the break down of fines. This to me would fly in the face of logic because drivers in these categories make up a significant proportion of vehicles on the road and run up much greater mileage than the rest of us.What is impossible to deny is that PCNs of this kind are a major issue for delivery drivers, Uber drivers, social care works and builders many of whom are really struggling financially at the moment. You really only need to talk to them to confirm this is the case. Even if you believe these measures are justifiable in terms of improving transport you should not close your eyes to the inherent social injustice of the way they are being implemented.It would be good to see the council, which is after all Labour, do a proper study of who is actually being penalised by these measures given the huge amount of money being raised so that they can determine what the social impact actually is but I anticipate they won't because they know what the answer will be.

Francis Rowe ● 1389d

The maximum bookable income per PCN is £130, it is in no way consistent with the accounting principle of prudence to book £195 per PCN because someone might not pay it.The additional £65 would, I think, go to the Council and, like so many other sources of income, would not be budgeted or forecasted for, it would simply be bonus income if received.Income is booked daily from, for example ICES 360 & Civica ePay.At the end of each day it is wholly possible to know:How many PCN's issued - Total debt bookableHow many paid in 14 days - Cash receivedHow many paid in 15-28 days - Cash receivedHow many appealed within 14 days - Part of total debt bookableHow many appealed between 15-28 days - Part of total debt bookableHow many not appealed and not paid - Part of total debt bookableFrom the above, it is possible to, on a daily basis, know exactly what enforcement income you have received - that is wholly uncontroversial, as it is simply the cash amount received at any given date.It is also possible to identify clearly the outstanding debt (bookable debt less cash received), available discount and any amount that you need to make a Bad Debt Provision for.This isn't rocket science, nor in a proper control environment, is it something that shouldn't be done on a very regular basis (system recs between the feeders and main Agresso ledger should be performed daily to confirm complete processing) with a full reconciliation performed at least monthly, if not fortnightly on this type of account.

Mark Warburton ● 1389d

Matthew, there is no 'apparently' about it, thousands of people are missing these signs. It isn't really a question of justifying it, just trying to understand why it happens.I don't know whether you drive, but I think most people don't tend to check every sign as they pass. On a busy road like the A316 your concentration needs to be on the traffic around you. Also, even keeping within the speed limit, it is almost impossible to take in a more complex serious of instructions. The council may argue that it has adhered to at least the minimum requirements but it is clear these are not effective undermining the reason the restrictions were put in in the first place.With the widespread use of SatNavs people are relying on them rather than road signs and that works fine 99% of the time but there clearly are problems with updating some systems for changing restrictions.Given the difficult economic circumstances, it is inevitable that many of the drivers fined will have bad personal financial situation made worse. Even the prompt-pay £65 represents a considerable dent in some household incomes. You can quibble as to what proportion of the thousands fined are in this position but it will be a lot in absolute terms.It seems to me we have to accept that road signage doesn't operate effectively in situations like this and therefore there is a fundamental unfairness in dishing out fines to drivers who drive down these roads without exemption from the restrictions.A simple way to make the system fairer without compromising its effectiveness is to issue a warning for a first offence.

Jeremy Parkinson ● 1388d

I am certain that a system of the type that ICES360 is used, it's a local government standard. What I cannot be certain of, is whether it is that specific system in place. There is no doubt, at all, that a PCN recording system is used, so yes, I can be certain that it's straightforward to extract the info & frankly, if I could arsed, I'd ask the people I know at Hounslow what the system they use is. Going back to your clear inability to read/not misrepresent:I said that "The claim that it is difficult to get exact numbers of PCN's issued is, whilst possibly very technically true, what is commonly referred to as a lie. And a blatant one at that."Now, you, as is your MO, are misrepresenting that as me saying that its a blatant lie that it's difficult to extract exact enforcement income.Clutching at straws springs to mind.Now, I can be sure that it's straightforward to extract the information, as I'm familiar with the major products on the market and from perusal of Hounslow's contract register, their technology strategy is to use best in class.So, you never did answer my question, which is, is Cllr Dunne incompetent or untruthful? I think her previous, suspect, public comments lean that answer one way, but you may have a different opinion. For the avoidance of doubt, this is a boolean situation.Apart from Cllr Dunne's words, refuted by the One Chiswick, who one would assume, could release the email in question, you have no actual proof of abuse do you?It wouldn't be the first time than an unsubstantiated claim of abuse had been made by a heavily pro-cycling Councillor. For example, the forunately ex-Cllr Burke at Hackney and Cllr Stringer at Merton have made in one case unsubstantiated & widely disbelieved and in the other, false, claims of abuse, so colour me sceptical.

Mark Warburton ● 1388d

Tom, Tom, Tom. You're not very good at this. If you're going to wilfully dishonest & misrepresent me, it's best not to do it in reply to a message that quotes what I actually said.I'll say, quite openly, that Cllr Dunne either has made openly dishonest statements publicly, or she is the only person in the world able to lobby herself and remain neutral to the lobbying that she is part of.What's the false dichotomy? There's isn't one. She's either lying or incompetent. Either are grounds for her removal.No, you're right, I really don't have the motivation to prove beyond doubt that you're wrong. The fact that you would even consider Hounslow wouldn't use a parking/PCN system does make your opinion on this matter is worthless.Why would I, or anyone on this forum, choose to debate with and prove proof to a dishonest, sealioning, misrepresenting, twister of words, who as soon as he loses a point tries to pivot the debate to something else, troll such as yourself? To be honest, I'm a little surprised you haven't managed to bring in some spurious stat about how cars are more dangerous than ballistic missiles into this thread.Having seen the email, I assume you'll be desperate to remove you dishonest claim that it was abusive, given your suddenly so keen on the truth? You'll also, no doubt be keen to agree that it's another example of cycling group affiliated Councillors lying in public about "abuse" received from people opposed to their actions.In relation to the £10m claim, as I understand it, that was an extrapolation based on FoI enquiries. Doesn't look to be accurate, but until I look at the detail, I'll remain neutral on it, because I trust very little of what you say.

Mark Warburton ● 1387d

Mark, I now see you decided to made a fresh accusation against Councillor Dunne, even if you speciously framed it as previously being described by me as a false dichotomy:"I'll say, quite openly, that Cllr Dunne either has made openly dishonest statements publicly, or she is the only person in the world able to lobby herself and remain neutral to the lobbying that she is part of."What's the false dichotomy? There's isn't one. She's either lying or incompetent. Either are grounds for her removal."You seem to be repeating the accusation made in the anonymous OneChiswick email that she is conflicted through her membership of LCC and her behaviour is therefore against the Nolan Principles of Public Life.This is very close to one of arguments addressed recently in the Judicial Review of the Enfield LTNs. It was claimed that the association of councillors with Better Streets for Enfield meant that they had failed to act properly. The judgement, in rejecting all claims, referred to a previously established position:"Central to such a consideration, however, must be a recognition that councillors are not in a judicial or quasi-judicial position but are elected to provide and pursue policies." Councillor Dunne, along with the council's ruling group, was elected on a manifesto to provide protected cycling routes, the prime tenet of the LCC, as well as support 15-minute neighbourhoods that reduce car use and encourage active travel. Those are quite openly the policies that Councillor Dunne was elected "to provide and pursue", however much you might disagree with them; and it is not her role to remain neutral, however much you might demand it. That judgement demonstrates that Councillor Dunne is neither lying nor incompetent on the grounds of the argument you have attempted to construct, and furthermore your charge, and OneChiswick's, reveals a fundamental misunderstanding of representative democracy.https://caselaw.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ewhc/admin/2022/2809

Tom Pike ● 1387d

Just a few points:Julian, as so often, perfect sense.However, feelings are likely to be strong on these issues if you are directly impacted - if you are want your child to cycle safely to school, if your access to care is compromised by restrictions, if your road has become a rat run, if your business income is being severely impacted by customers finding it difficult to access your premises. If you feel your needs are being ignored you are going to get cross.I've seen the email and 'unhinged and slightly creepy' rather than abusive might be a better description. Cllr Dunne had to suffer worse at the Area Forum meeting.It appears to have been unsigned although notionally it is from One Chiswick. However, this body is not formally constituted. There is a now defunct company that was set up for the legal challenge and there is a Facebook group but the email doesn't say it is from either. There is a recurring obsession with councillors being members of the LCC as if this is some sort of 'gotcha'. This fails to understand that lobbying is only an issue for politicians if it is on behalf of commercial interests. If a councillor is open in her or his advocacy for cycling and was elected on that basis then nobody should have a problem.The exaggeration of the amount of fines is stupid. I think it is scandalous how many PCNs are being issued at Staveley Road and Hartington Road based the figure which can be verified which is already huge. The argument against these fines is weakened when people inflate the number.The person who wrote this email should come out from behind the cloak of anonimity. If they are claiming to be part of an organisation this some be one with a proper constitution, a Mem and Arts, with a method for appointing officers who are responsible for anything issued in the organisations name. Until that happens any councillor should feel free to delete without reading anything sent to them by 'onechiswick'.

Francis Rowe ● 1385d

Steve,If I was really bothered, I could make an FOI request to Hounslow. Which would cost money for Hounslow to process. Money which could possibly be better spent elsewhere.No one has put forward any "evidence" that the figure of £10,000,000 is correct.I have, at least, provided a link to an FOI from 2021 that gives what numbers of PCNs issued in 2021 in one of the roads in question were.Let's just look at what £10,000,000 of PCNs means in reality.£10,000,000 worth of PCNs equals 74074 PCNs @ £135 (non discounted full rate).£10,000,000 worth of PCNs in 6 months equals an average of 12345.679 PCNs per month.The claim was (as I understand it) that £10,000,000 worth of PCNs were issued for just 2 roads in 6 months, which is an average of nearly 6173 PCNs per month/per road. And that's if ALL the PCNs issued were paid at full rate. Some PCNs would be paid at a reduced rate, some wouldn't get paid, so the number of PCNs needed for a figure of £10,000,000 to be true would be even higher.Possible, but highly unlikely, given the figures in the 2021 FOI request I linked to.The source for this alleged £10,000,000 is said by those who made the claim, to be the response to a FOI request. Someone from the One Chiswick Group or Grove Park Group presumably must have a copy of the response to the FOI if the figure of £10,000,000 is correct - and it would be trivial for them to provide the actual response on this forum for all to see.If that happens, and the figures are found to be correct, then I will be happy to apologise to you for saying that you are talking tosh.But until then, I will simple add to what I'd said previously, in that Steve Taylor you are quite simply wrong if you believe the true value of PCNs issued for the two roads in 6 months is £10,000,000 (or higher).To remind you, this is what you wrote:"The article in the Leader Page confirms that £10million in fines has been collected and the Council has not disputed the figure or provided a different figure. Hence it must be true."Total tosh!The amount of fines is probably ridiculously high and an indication that something is wrong with how these restrictions are being conveyed to drivers but that isn't what we are talking about here, we are talking about the veracity of the figure of £10,000,000.

Andrew Jones ● 1384d

No council can refuse to answer a well constructed FoI request but these surveys are presumably done with standardised questions which an authority wishing to be obstructive could dodge giving an answer. Also if the surveys are based on information from annual borough parking reports rather than FoI requests, that would also explain the absence of CHR.Your justification of elevated PCNs as being non-regressive is more sophisticated than others we have seen in this thread. Is it really the case that mileage driven correlates with income? I'd be surprised if this was the case if you exclude the bottom income deciles who won't generally own a car.If it is true, it is probably reasonable to assume that higher mileage by the better is entirely due to leisure use  which won't be relevant to restrictions that operate during business hours and not on a Sunday. Mileage during the working week will (there is a clue in the description) be mainly for work. I can't think of that many jobs that require a high level of mileage to be driven that pay above the average wage except perhaps working for a Formula 1 team. The GLA provided data on type of vehicles as a proportion of traffic on roads in the GLA area but outside the central congestion zone earlier this year which showed that only around half of journeys are in cars from the morning to the evening peak.https://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/mqt/0840%20Table_Proportion%20of%20London%3Fs%20Traffic%20Made%20Up%20Of%20Ride-Sharing%20Vehicles%20.pdfCan we not agree that people driving lorries, vans and mini-cabs during the day are unlikely to be wealthy people? That would mean at least half the fines are going to drivers on below average incomes. As for the cars, we cannot assume these are being driven by wealthy people. Just because you don't have a van doesn't mean you aren't driving for a living. Remember a vast army of carers drives on our streets all through the week trying to fit in a packed appointment schedule. Add to that keyworkers such as police officers, teachers and NHS workers who are not paid enought to afford accomodation near their place of work or far away but with good transport links.Your justification that I should be pleased that the charges place on these people should please me because it reduces my council tax bill seems a very weak one. Once again, would a fairer solution not be to issue a warning for the first breach of a restriction?

Jeremy Parkinson ● 1384d

The quickest way to undermine support for Active Travel measures is to argue the fine revenue they generate is a benefit to society. Most people, even those sympathetic to restrictions on traffic, are going to recognise this is bogus.Any flat charge will tend to be regressive. If councils are using fines to cover costs rather than raising Council Tax that has to be regressive. The Freedom Pass costs are already covered so arguing that this is a fair redistribution of revenue is not valid.You don't say if the figures you provide for household mileage include non-personal use - I suspect they do not. Also as they only include households that own a car, you are excluding a significant part of the workforce that drive for a living and don't own their own vehicle.You haven't dealt with leisure mileage which has to explain a lot of reasons why people with higher incomes drive longer distances. Below average income families don't tend to have second homes in Devon or take regular break. The cost-of-living squeeze is also a leisure squeeze with lots of people now force to increase their working hours, including at the weekend, to make ends meet.Also, doesn't Jeremy's point based on the GLA data showing that over half the vehicles on London's road during the operation of the restrictions on Staveley Road will be vans, lorries and taxis make the figures you are using totally irrelevant? Whatever the national average for road mileage by income is - it is very different in this area during the working week.Up until the current financial crisis governments have been very unwilling to put up tax levels both at the national and local level which has created huge pressure particularly due to the ever rising cost of social care. Councils are responding to this by looking at other forms of income. Leveraging property assets has been one but that looks set to be a very bad move so the burden is falling ever more heavily on fees and fines. This will tend to make revenue raising at the local authority level more regressive - there is no chart that can contradict this - the higher your income is the lower the percentage of your income a fee or fine will be.The real danger is that councils develop a dependency on fine based income which causes them to lose sight of why restrictions were introduced in the first place and any negative social impact that a large level of infractions might be having. A warning for the first offence, or first batch of offences if they are likely to have occured before the warning is received, is the logical way to mitigate any social injustice while maintaining the benefits of any measures.

Mark Evans ● 1383d

You make two mistaken in your analysis. Firstly, you are presuming because a fine is a flat charge, it has a flat distribution across all income scales. That would indeed by regressive. However, flat fines based on a usage that scales with income are not regressive.Secondly, you say as Freedom Passes are already covered, my point is irrelevant. But if less of the funding comes from fines then inevitably more has to come from council tax. Hence the balance of income from fines and council tax will have an effect on those in different income brackets depending on who is paying more of which. The key issue is therefore the relative regressive nature of council tax and PCNs.IFS states that those in the lowest decile pay 8% of income on council tax, while those in the top 40% of incomes pay 2 to 3%. That is clearly very regressive. Only if the payment of PCNs was even more heavily weighted to those on low incomes would they suffer if revenue was raised from PCNs rather than council tax. This should not be a disputable fact if you are serious about social justice!We don't know the distribution of payment for PCNs by income, but we do know the distribution of household spending for vehicle running costs, and both the bottom 10% and top 40% pay close to 3%. Hence if PCNs scaled with mileage, which is not an unreasonable assumption, shifting revenue raising from council tax to PCNs is progressive. Again, this should not be a disputable fact.You are right that small business spending is not included in household spending so the overall effect may not be reflected in th household spending figures. However, only a small fraction of those on the lowest incomes will be running a small business which risks them getting heavily fined. In fact from that fraction we can work out exactly how much more heavily they would have to be fined before PCNs became more regressive than council tax, where the lowest 10% are paying 3 to 4 times the proportion of income of those in the top 40%.If 10% of the poorest decile had jobs that meant they were at risk of getting fined (which seems very much an upper estimate), they would have to be getting fined at more than 30 to 40 times the rate of the wealthiest 40% before PCNs meant that overall the poorest decile ended up paying more through fines than council tax. Social justice considerations are indeed important, but those considerations need to be rationally based.

Tom Pike ● 1383d

Tom, the rational basis for concerns about the social justice impact of councils relying on fines for income is clearly there. I'm slightly taken aback by your dogged refusal to recognise them and reliance on increasingly convoluted and tendentious arguments to justify your position.Do you not believe that the GLA data I presented shows that at least half the vehicles likely to be on our roads when local restrictions are operating will be being driven for commercial purposes?Do you not think that relying on figures taken at a national level which may not be representatives of driving patterns in London and ignores usage for commercial purposes is an unsound basis for discounting out of hand the possible social justice impact of reliance on fine revenue?Can you not acknowledge that even if you happened to be right and proportionally more of the fines tend to be paid by higher income groups the impact is assymetric? A senior academic or a banker or a lawyer can laugh £65 off as an inconvenience but the same amount of money for a low paid worker could result in genuine hardship.If you are not prepared to endorse my suggestion that first offences should be dealt with by a warning letter would you at least acknowledge that your analysis isn't totally watertight and the best way to determine what the actual impact is would be further research? A small part of the funds being raised could be used for an independent study into what exactly is the social impact of these polices. As you rightly say, these considerations need to be rationally based.

Jeremy Parkinson ● 1383d

DfT counts don't make a distinction between cars and taxis, so you're right that there will be some taxis not counted. In the general GLA figures Justin referred to, taxis, both PHV and licensed cabs, made up 8-9% of traffic outside the congestion zone, so if we just carry through that proportion we can estimate around quarter of the traffic on Hartington Road are commercial vehicles including all taxis. Assuming that all that commercial traffic was driven by people in the lowest decile of income, and they are all personally liable to pay any PCN, that means they are 2.5 times more likely than average to have to pay a PCN just on the basis of the proportion of vehicles, rather than the five times as much that was the basis of Justin's original argument. That by itself is still certainly regressive for those low-income drivers. However, it is difficult to imagine such drivers making up even as much as 5% of all those in low-income households, and so the overall redistributive effect of such PCNs paid by these drivers will be much more muted. So while the lowest decile is paying on average around three to four times the proportion of their income on council tax as the wealthiest 40% of households (8% vs 2 to 3%), they will be still be paying on average a rather smaller proportion of their income on PCNs than the wealthiest 40% of households - I estimate about 33% more compared to the 200-300% more for council tax. For sure not all commercial drivers come from the poorest decile of households, and I doubt as many as 5% of that decile are commercial drivers who are liable to pay their own PCNs. Hence that 33% is certainly an overestimate.  This means that on average a shift to raising council revenue from PCNs rather than council tax is progressive, reducing the share of the financial burden shouldered by the poorest. That wouldn't be the case if council tax itself were more progressive, but that's not the basis for judging the effects at this time.That doesn't mean as a question of general equity that such PCNs shouldn't be cancelled if first-time contraventions, but that's a different argument to one based on social justice. Indeed, there is a good case to be made for making all PCNs income dependent, as they are for speeding and where the alternative in that case would be to raise funds through general taxation which is much more progressive than council tax.

Tom Pike ● 1383d

JP: "Hounslow has taken the opportunity to raise the council tax by the maximum since the introduction of these restrictions so the notion that this massive fine revenue reduces the tax burden elsewhere is self-evidently false."RC: On the basis that Councils are currently prevented by central government from raising Council Tax beyond a certain level, then if they also experience reduced revenue from PCNs, as you appear to support, then then they will be forced either to (a ) cut free services eg social care, and/or (b ) increase charges for services which are paid-for eg leisure centres, and/or (c ) raise business rates, and/or (d ) go into debt.There can be no doubt that (a ) and (b ) are regressive, especially hitting poorer people. While (c ) will hurt the local economy, thereby hitting everyone. And (d ) could eventually lead to the fate suffered eg by Croydon Council, which last month declared bankruptcy for the third time. (Each bankruptcy has led to further cuts to services, much less support for local businesses and greater strain on the national purse.)Therefore as a resident of LB Ealing AND a car owner, who is also now in receipt of a (much valued and used) Freedom Pass, I have no problem whatever with these PCNs being imposed - if anything, I don't think I'd mind if the fines were higher, especially since the majority of fines appear to be levied on drivers from outside either LBE or LBH!P.S. Notwithstanding the above, I do agree with (your?) proposal that PCN offenders should be given a warning for their first infraction, rather than a fine.

Richard Cathcart ● 1383d

Jeremy (sorry, not Justin!), your claim was that your figures from the GLA were more relevant than my derived figures from national statistics, and I agree, at least in making some sort of an estimate about the amount of commercial vehicles. But your figures are for London as a whole, not for the very road we are discussing! Of course there will be some year to year variation, but we also have a previous year’s measure, and that gives 13% LGVs, but that 4% difference is not large given the other assumptions that have to be made. The fact that the proportion  has varied by by relatively little even though counts were taken prepandemic and the in May 2020 suggests that the proportion cannot be expected by huge amounts.  As I said, the road counts do not include taxis though there are HGV counts and coaches and they are negligible in comparison to LGVs. That leaves only taxis not included, and there I just took your numbers as the best average available for outer London,. Overall that gives an estimate of 25% of commercial usage based on vehicle types compared to the 50% you derived from the GLA figures, and that difference is down to the much lower LGV counts on Hartington Rd. While you have a point that in the current circumstances council tax has been increased to the maximum, that just transfers the analysis from how revenue is raised to how it is spent. Generally cuts in council spending hurt the lowest income residents the hardest, and even with the correction for PCNs from commercial vehicles, it is still true that 96% of PCN revenue  is coming from outside the lowest decile (it would be 97% otherwise). Council spending is much more progressive than council tax, so if PCN fines were reduced the resulting cuts would very likely fall much more disproportionately on the lowest paid.

Tom Pike ● 1383d

The point about cuts being necessary if PCN revenue is a fair one but there probably isn't a direct relationship between a reduction in key services and a reduction in PCN income. As I understand it the Freedom Pass liability is already amply covered by existing revenue in both Hounslow and Ealing so would not be affected if the one off boost in PCN income due to the measures imposed due since COVID was reduced. For the rest of the income council's can use clever management accounting to get some of it into other departments but there are limits to what you can do and I think most of it is actually spent on transport related schemes. These are obviously important but the social impact of them not taking place isn't going to be significant.I'm very uncomfortable with the idea that the high levels of fines are okay because most are paid by non-local residents. If this attitude was to infect other areas Hounslow and Ealing residents would be on the wrong end of it and so the unfairness would be equalised.There are two other reasons for concern about the equity of an increasing reliance on PCNs for revenue. Firstly the appeal system is very biased towards higher income groups. Looking at the appeals going through on Fishers Lane, it is taking over a year for them to get to adjudication and a high proportion are successful. It is likely that many more are successful before they get to adjudication. The council is likely to back down if they receive a well-crafted appeal from someone who has legal knowledge or has taken legal advice. This is not necessarily an option for a person fined who doesn't have a tertiary education, friends who are lawyers or who speaks English as a second language.Secondly, although it is not a completely foolproof method, use of Waze or Google Maps does significantly reduce your chances of inadvertently breaching a restriction. To use these you need a relatively up to date smartphone and a generous data allowance on your contract. If you can't afford this you may need to rely on a traditional SatNav which doesn't update as regularly for restrictions or no device at all. Flat charges for anything will always be regressive no matter how sophisticated the arguments people use to justify them. PCNs for access infringements are even more so for the reasons given. It would be good to see research done on this  but what information we have suggests we are increasingly moving towards a system which is profoundly unfair. There is a broader problem here but the specific on in Grove Park could be largely solved by a first offence amnesty. If that was introduced across all similar restrictions it would be a huge step forward.

Mark Evans ● 1382d

"Why are decent people using roads to commute to work called rat runners?", asks Steve.You might ask why Steve calls decent people using roads to commute to work "scum" or "cockroaches"? The answer to these questions is that Steve really doesn't like cyclists and most people don't like car, van and even HGV drivers who divert off congested main roads to drive through their local neighbourhoods on roads unsuitable for this traffic. You can understand why: this traffic pollutes homes and schools, often speeds and puts local residents at higher risk of being injured in a collision - the very young and the elderly are at most risk.They also cause congestion, delaying local residents going about their business, delaying their buses as well as discouraging people from walking or cycling for local trips due to the increased danger. That's why Sam Hearne and the other Tory Councillors said they supported measures to remove "rat runners" from Grove Park, as did the local residents via their petition and consultation.I get that Maggie and Steve don't like the pejorative "rat" from "rat runner" - it makes it more difficult to argue that school streets should be removed (as Maggie has repeatedly advocated) and kids put in danger or poisoned for the benefit of "rats" taking a shortcut.  They could instead use "chipsters" - comes from the British army slang "CHIPS", "Causing Havoc In People's Streets".That's appropriate as these actually are "people's streets", not some entitled "I pay road tax" driver's cut through to avoid the A4.

Ed Saper ● 1380d