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" The numbers of cyclists is minute compared to the population of London. Come up with all the percentages you like, but the numbers will always be low."OK, I'll give you some percentages and translate those into numbers.If you look at how people get to work in London, the share of cycling is increasing and the share of cars is decreasing.London commutes by modal share (%) and number of people (in millions)2010 - Cars 34% (1.325m), Bikes 5% (0.206m)2019 - Cars 27% (1.303m), Bikes 5% (0.230m)Q4 2020 - Cars 27% (1.265m), Bikes 7% (0.335m)In Inner London in 2020 more people (241,000 vs 215,000) commuted to work by bike than by car.2010 - Cars 16% (0.246m), Bikes 8% (0.130m)2019 - Cars 14% (0.274m), Bikes 7% (0.145m)Q4 2020 - Cars 11% (0.215m), Bikes 12% (0.241m)Outer London hasn't moved much yet, but new infrastructure will fix that:2010 - Cars 46% (1.071m), Bikes 3% (0.078m)2019 - Cars 38% (1.027m), Bikes 4% (0.085m)Q4 2020 - Cars 38% (1.032m), Bikes 4% (0.1m)If you wish to frame the argument as one group wanting the roads to themselves, it would surely be car drivers as they endless demand the removal of bike lanes, the removing of traffic restrictions, expansion of parking, restriction of bus lanes and more roads - to themselves.And given that cars and vehicles take up so much more space and cause so much congestions, that's perhaps understandable.However, cycling takes up a fraction of the space - the Blackfriars cycling lane carries 5 times as many people as cars during the morning peak - or 2,000 cyclists in the space of 1 traffic lane vs 1,557 drivers and passengers over 2 traffic lanes.  It also take a lot less space to park a bike than a car!So, no, it isn't true to say that cyclists "want the roads to yourselves".  They don't need them, they just want to share them safely and not be killed or injured in the process. 

Ed Saper ● 1584d

Having a cycle lane and buses in the mixed-use lanes with bus gates holding back other vehicles and buses stopping in the carriageway reduces road space for cars more than just having a bus lane and no cycle lane. It is absolutely the clearly-stated and transparent objective of transport authorities in many major cities, including London, to remove as many car journeys as possible, leaving more space for buses and other forms of PT and providing safe space for far more people to cycle than can do today.. I am sure it won't be long before cars are removed completely from the single lane on King Street. Cars using that as a through route instead of the A4 are absurd now.  And that is probably the way this will evolve over time along further sections too with special provision made for residents' access, disabled people and deliveries.  Does this sound extreme? From the FT article today on LTNs and behavioural change:"But what many people may not realise is that if the UK is to take its net-zero goals seriously, measures such as LTNs are just the start, says Professor Lorraine Whitmarsh, an environmental psychologist and director of the Centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations (CAST).A report by the International Energy Agency states that behavioural change will count for nearly two-thirds of the energy reduction needed to reach the net-zero goal. 'The sort of things that are going to be most effective to get to net zero will involve quite a significant degree of invasion in people's lifestyles,' says Prof Whitmarsh. 'unfortunately the public isn't really aware of how much things are going to change"

Paul Campbell ● 1584d

"Wouldn’t a well designed,  camera controlled bus lane, the complete length of the high street reduce traffic as much as the cycle lane."My assumption is that priority bus routes would help to improve bus reliability and encourage more people to use public transport.It is worth pointing out that buses are less reliable and slower than they could be due to the volume of traffic - even increasing bus lanes won't remove pinch points because you can't put a bus lane everywhere.However, as the epic battles of the cycle lane have shown, reconfiguring the road to take space away from other vehicles is difficult.For instance, Fisher's Lane is a priority bus route, it improves bus reliability, has reduced traffic on previously congested roads, is unsuitable for two-way traffic, but there is still a campaign to allow cars through it again.The A4 had bus lanes and they were removed.  Not because they didn't work - they did, reducing rush hour journey times for both buses and cars - but because of a campaign by drivers.  Bus use is declining both by vehicle and passenger miles across the UK: bus passenger miles of circa 45bn was fairly constant from 1980 to 2010 and declined to 33bn or by 25% in 2019.In London, bikes overtook buses in vehicle miles in 2014 and by 2020 were over 150% higher (bikes: 589m miles vs buses 229m miles).  Both buses and bikes are efficient ways of transporting large numbers of people - both have a maximum capacity of around 10,000 passengers / cyclists per hour per lane - although the cycle lane would be two-way, you'd need an extra lane for two-way buses and a lot more buses to hit capacity, which could end up causing congestion when you run out of bus lane.  So there's a good argument for increasing provision of both bus lanes and cycle lanes - not at the expense of each, but replacing vehicle lanes.  And in places, you may find that bus routes (without lots of buses and cabs) will help encourage more cyclists anyway, like in Fishers Lane.

Ed Saper ● 1584d

"All so easy to simply say too many cars, when the problem is really too many people needing to get about or needing services.....Things will get worse as more people are crammed into parts of London." There's an implicit assumption that population growth or increasing economic activity results in more traffic. That was not the case in London between 1999 and 2009 when population and GDP increased, but traffic decreased. The ambition is to grow the economy faster, take in more people and actually reduce traffic, just as we managed to do for 10 years. Public transport, particularly buses, does have a "too many cars" and other vehicles problem.   One solution is to provide more bus lanes and reduce lanes for traffic — that will both increase bus speed and reliability while reducing road space for vehicles which should reduce demand. Increasing capacity for safe cycling will increase demand for cycling and act as a safety valve for economic growth, allowing more people to move about quickly without bringing the city to gridlock.   You complain that "very little supporting infrastructure is going in", but that's exactly what is happening — a modest increase in cycling infrastructure and a huge new tube line over the next couple of months. There is plenty more that councils and city government can do to reduce traffic congestion — whether that's restricting traffic on residential roads, regulating Uber, introducing congestion charges / road pricing, providing incentives for home deliveries to move away from vans, setting up drop off points and lockers to help deliveries move to off peak times, providing infrastructure for shipment consolidation or taxing same / next day van deliveries and more.   However, if we want to enjoy roads that aren't choked with traffic and air that doesn't choke us, we are all going to have to accept some changes to how we live our lives.

Ed Saper ● 1584d

"the Elizabeth line won’t solve a lot of problems in most of the capital."No, but it will help support economic growth by increasing rail capacity by 10% and directly linking Heathrow, the West End, the City and Canary Wharf without increasing road traffic.  "The reason traffic increased was the boom in hone deliveries and taxi services like Uber."Yes, and Google Maps which dramatically increased road capacity, which helps to explain why all the traffic growth over the last 10 years has been on minor roads.  I outlined several measures that could be taken to reduce the number of home deliveries, move them to off peak or out of vans.  It isn't impossible to tackle Uber either, and one way to fix the Google Maps problem is to restrict local roads to access only."And your assumption that more people will cycle if more lanes are built is flawed. It’s a leisure activity for many, not a transport mode for everyday life. "Increasing cycle lanes directly leads to more people cycling.  Just like building a new motorway leads to more people driving.  Or building a new tube line leads to more people taking the tube.  Some of that will be for work, some for leisure, some for shopping - sure.  In terms of cycling being a transport mode:Commuting in Inner London (e.g. Hammersmith, Islington, West End etc.) per day: 2019 - Cars 14% (0.274m), Bikes 7% (0.145m)Bikes transported roughly half the number of commuters as cars in Inner London in 2019 - and in Q4 2020, bikes transported 12% more, and the ambition should be to maintain and grow that.  Given the amount of space 274,000 cars take up (about 630 acres excluding parking, just a bit smaller than The City of London), reducing that by half would give more space to buses and commercial vehicles throughout London.

Ed Saper ● 1583d

Well Paul, now obviously I must respond 😊.I like the idea of the cycle lane.  When my children are older, I hope they will be safer when using it to cycle.  Now their main form of travel is walking and public transport, with the odd car journey thrown in for journeys where public transport is not practical.  Bikes and scooters are used as well, but more for fun.  Busses and the tube are more important than bikes when we travel.I question the efficiency of having the cycle lane and the overall benefits to travel in London it delivers.The following TFL Travel in London Report delivers some interesting figures and summaries on cycling https://content.tfl.gov.uk/travel-in-london-report-12.pdfIt suggests to me that cycle lanes actually benefit a small section of the population.Active travel: Cycling in London Summary (Page 109)According to the LTDS, in 2018/19 just below 21 per cent of Londoners reported having cycled at least once in the last year, which is the lowest proportion since 2010/11. This strongly suggests that the growth in cycling observed in volumetric counts is driven by population growth, and by people who already cycle making more trips.Most people who cycle in London do so quite regularly and have been doing so for more than five years. They also tend to be mostly male, white, in employment, and with relatively higher household incomes.The cycle intercept surveys on cycle routes that were opened in 2018 show good overall user satisfaction with the improvements and a positive correlation between the provision of cycling infrastructure and the perception of safety, which may be stronger where the infrastructure is segregated. They also show that the demographic profile of users of these new cycle routes is not markedly different to that of the general cycling population in London.Most users of cycle routes where TfL has invested in cycling are people who also live in London, cycle very regularly, and who have been cycling on that route for a relatively long time. However, almost 75 per cent of users consider the cycling facilities along the route a significant factor in their choice of mode and route for that journey.

Kieran Fox ● 1583d

Just in case  Paul and Ed missed my earlier response.I like the idea of the cycle lane.  When my children are older, I hope they will be safer when using it to cycle.  Now their main form of travel is walking and public transport, with the odd car journey thrown in for journeys where public transport is not practical.  Bikes and scooters are used as well, but more for fun.  Busses and the tube are more important than bikes when we travel.I question the efficiency of having the cycle lane and the overall benefits to travel in London it delivers.The following TFL Travel in London Report delivers some interesting figures and summaries on cycling https://content.tfl.gov.uk/travel-in-london-report-12.pdfIt suggests to me that cycle lanes actually benefit a small section of the population.Active travel: Cycling in London Summary (Page 109)According to the LTDS, in 2018/19 just below 21 per cent of Londoners reported having cycled at least once in the last year, which is the lowest proportion since 2010/11. This strongly suggests that the growth in cycling observed in volumetric counts is driven by population growth, and by people who already cycle making more trips.Most people who cycle in London do so quite regularly and have been doing so for more than five years. They also tend to be mostly male, white, in employment, and with relatively higher household incomes.The cycle intercept surveys on cycle routes that were opened in 2018 show good overall user satisfaction with the improvements and a positive correlation between the provision of cycling infrastructure and the perception of safety, which may be stronger where the infrastructure is segregated. They also show that the demographic profile of users of these new cycle routes is not markedly different to that of the general cycling population in London.Most users of cycle routes where TfL has invested in cycling are people who also live in London, cycle very regularly, and who have been cycling on that route for a relatively long time. However, almost 75 per cent of users consider the cycling facilities along the route a significant factor in their choice of mode and route for that journey.

Kieran Fox ● 1582d

You could make a similar argument that car owners in London "also tend to be mostly male, white, in employment, and with relatively higher household incomes."Around half of households have access to a car - the richer you are, the more likely you are to have one.  Around 21% of Londoners reported cycling in the last year in 2019, as you quoted, and that grew to 27% in 2020/21 and "Londoners from Black, Asian and minority ethnic communities were not significantly less likely to have cycled over the past 12 months than white Londoners."https://tfl.gov.uk/info-for/media/press-releases/2021/october/the-people-cycling-in-london-are-more-diverse-than-everBut if I were to paraphrase your point: cyclists are a tiny, white minority who are given disproportionate attention and money, and even if we want more people to cycle, people just won't because it is so elitist, they all wear lycra and it's unfair on everyone else.However, when you look at the numbers, the number of people cycling isn't a tiny minority.In Outer London 14% of people cycle once a month, 10% once a week (2018/2019). In Inner London it is 23% once a month and 18% once a week.  Hounslow is 16% monthly and 11% weekly, but Hammersmith (Inner London) is 31% monthly and 18% weekly, while Richmond (Outer London) is 36% monthly and 27% weekly.  https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/walking-and-cycling-statistics-england-2020You can pull out statistics from the link above and if you like you can "prove" that cycling is a tiny minority by limiting it to Outer London and those who cycle 5 times a week and only for travel and not leisure and you can get to less than 2% and therefore we should reopen Fishers Lane and remove C9 because cycling will never, ever be a legitimate activity of the majority and the cars need all the space.Or you can take the view that cycling is a legitimate transport option because it is high capacity, zero carbon / pollution and healthy and is the sort of think we should do more of, while we do less of the stuff which is inefficient, high carbon / pollution and is making us unhealthy - oh, and it works pretty well in other countries.  And if you take that view, then tackling the reasons people don't cycle more - mainly because it is/feels so bloody dangerous to cycle on the roads with tipper trucks, let alone doing it with kids on the school run - then a cycle lane doesn't seem like such a bad idea. 

Ed Saper ● 1582d

Sorry, maybe I wasn't clear in my previous post.  The following is the summary from the TFL report on active travel.  Not my commentary on it.Active travel: Cycling in London Summary (Page 109)  https://content.tfl.gov.uk/travel-in-london-report-12.pdf"According to the LTDS, in 2018/19 just below 21 per cent of Londoners reported having cycled at least once in the last year, which is the lowest proportion since 2010/11. This strongly suggests that the growth in cycling observed in volumetric counts is driven by population growth, and by people who already cycle making more trips.Most people who cycle in London do so quite regularly and have been doing so for more than five years. They also tend to be mostly male, white, in employment, and with relatively higher household incomes.The cycle intercept surveys on cycle routes that were opened in 2018 show good overall user satisfaction with the improvements and a positive correlation between the provision of cycling infrastructure and the perception of safety, which may be stronger where the infrastructure is segregated. They also show that the demographic profile of users of these new cycle routes is not markedly different to that of the general cycling population in London.Most users of cycle routes where TfL has invested in cycling are people who also live in London, cycle very regularly, and who have been cycling on that route for a relatively long time. However, almost 75 per cent of users consider the cycling facilities along the route a significant factor in their choice of mode and route for that journey."

Kieran Fox ● 1582d

You were pretty clear in your post - you quoted the TFL report to say that 21% of Londoners had ridden a bike in the last year (2018/19) and that most cyclists had been cycling for a long time.From that you deduced "cycle lanes actually benefit a small section of the population" and stated: "I question the efficiency of having the cycle lane and the overall benefits to travel in London it delivers."I don't think you should misinterpret my response as not understanding your point simply because I did not agree with it.  I do agree that it is still a relatively small proportion of all Londoners who cycle regularly - although the numbers cycling regularly vary widely from area to area - e.g. Hammersmith: 31% cycle at least monthly and 18% at least weekly.Whereas you use a London wide average to justify removing cycling infrastructure in Chiswick where C9 has already proved successful, I say it justifies more cycling infrastructure here to connect up the schools and in many other areas.The sort of cyclist who historically commutes into London daily on main roads, aggressively defending themselves against traffic and still regularly getting killed and injured in the process is a minority.  It certainly doesn't describe me, my wife, my kids or the families on Chiswick Tractors who use C9 on the school run.Nor does it describe the majority of people in London who long ago voted with their feet and stopped cycling because it feels / is so bloody dangerous on a road network that had safe cycling designed or suffocated out of it.  Removing the cycle lane would take away highly efficient transport infrastructure - one that doesn't generate CO2, air pollution or traffic congestion.  It would also make the roads more dangerous for a lot of people and thus significantly reduce growth in cycling, which is exactly why some people want it removed.

Ed Saper ● 1581d