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The police seem to be upping the tension on this gripping saga with a gradual reveal of the full plot. The latest fines appear to be for the leaving party for the person responsible for drawing up the Covid regulations which you couldn't really make up.The jeopardy is slightly spoiled in that we know the ending already. There was a party in the Downing Street flat on 13 November 2020 and Johnson was there and therefore has being lying about this all along.His cabinet colleagues must be aware of this already so it seems to defy all logic that he is still PM. However, it is probably worth bearing in mind that circumstances have consistently conspired to keep this woefully inadequate individual in positions of power. It is probably worth considering how this will be yet another seemingly impossible corner he gets out of.We are all assuming the leadership contest begins after the May elections. But what if the Tories do better than expected? From our perspective we presume they are going to be hammered and, in London, they will be. They look set to lose Wandsworth and probably many of their seats here in Chiswick.However, they may do better in the north and midlands. Despite the crunching impact of the cost of living crisis, many people are feeling better off because of rising property prices there and that may cushion the losses they experience in local council elections. The 'Red Wall' MPs form an important bloc within the Tory party and if think Johnson is, bizarrely, their best hope of holding on they might rally to him. If Johnson then ramps up the rhetoric on Northern Ireland he could bring the Brexit nutters on board as well. Combine this with all the MPs who have been given cabinet positions despite their complete lack of suitability and who would lose the perks of office under another leader, he may be able to cobble together enough MPs to defeat a vote of no confidence.All this seems unlikely now but consider all the things that have had to fall into place to deliver us this dishonest buffoon as our leader.

Francis Rowe ● 1632d